The 3yo Middle Breeder Cup – 13 February 2016 – Sydney Harbour Racecourse

The 3yo Middle Breeder Cup

RECAP: ROUNDING OUT THE TOP 5

02/13/2016

Final Result
Pos Gate Horse Stable Jockey Time
1 1 Ajax captaincrusoe Jeannetta Brockus 1:49.229
2 2 Secret Pharaoh Dixon Racing Pierre Strydom 1:49.721
3 5 Dunedin Star Desert Wind Stables Norine Whelihan 1:49.992
4 3 Nealan Speed Breed Tien Pajtas 1:50.506
5 11 Sparrow Fart Sardean Lodge Crissy Succop 1:50.769

Season 34, and we see the 3yo young guns over medium step out for the second cup of the season, a quick back up from the The Australian Spring Guineas that was only just run a few weeks ago.

Stand out on the day was Ajax the 3yo colt on dead ground, here the track will be even more suitable, so clearly one to watch with a top 5 from the Guineas in particular is Secret Pharoah, a WR is what it may take to score the 3yo Breeders in season 34.

So lets look more in depth at each breeders runner and uncover who is a contender and who is not along the way we might even uncover a hidden gem or 2 yet to strike a blow that could cause an upset and bring home a piece of glory .

1. Ajax

3yo colt from captaincrusoe, Career earnings: $1,256,100
Overall rating: Reasonable(52) – Fast finisher

Form: 1,4,8,1,4

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:35.529)
Alvin Crackers: – From the powerful captaincrusoe this top class trainer is not only known for running a mudlark very well but also having a love for the medium distances and here with Ajax its no different. Ajax is a Class act and winner of the Australian Guineas. We can expect another strong showing from Ajax if he’s on his game, as he is a temperamental soul that can be both a pleasure and a pain.

2. Secret Pharaoh

3yo colt from Dixon Racing, Career earnings: $761,600
Overall rating: Reasonable(50) – Fast finisher

Form: 5,2,3,1

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:34.878)
Alvin Crackers says : – Secret Pharaoh was a late foal so been on catch up ever since yet this has not stopped the in form trainer from throwing this colt into the cups and to date had better than fair results, including a fine 3rd in the Australian Guineas. To back up that fine effort, Secret Pharaoh has now followed with the 3rd best ever time for 1550m in the heat. Given the recent run of cups, one can expect this colt to be no different and be right in the finish.

3. Nealan

3yo colt from Speed Breed, Career earnings: $497,575
Overall rating: Satisfactory(48) – Fast finisher

Form: 5,3,3,8

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:36.670)
Alvin Crackers says : – Nealan From Speed Breed multiple cup winning stable and with Nealan showed some good form early as a 2yo with a 3rd in the 2yo Champagne final. Now it seems the trainer skipped the Australian Guineas to have a tilt in this seasons 3yo Breeders .

To be fair only a heat, was not very impressive at all, but nor was Ajax in the Guineas heats so a poor run hardly means the end but one feels Nealan will need to improve out of sight to contend .

4. Just About Square

3yo colt from Get Square Lodge, Career earnings: $57,500
Overall rating: Satisfactory(48) – Early sprinter

Form: 8,4,10,6

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1500m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:15 (1:35.063)
Alvin Crackers says : – 3 Time cup WC winning stable and veteran of the game striving to get that 4th WC but on face value Just About Square is a bit out of his depth.

At this stage this colt has a long way to go but it is still early days and one would expect over the longer 1800m some improvement, but enough to worry the main contenders at this stage unlikely. 

5. Dunedin Star

3yo filly from Desert Wind Stables, Career earnings: $201,000
Overall rating: Satisfactory(49) – Competitive

Form: 1,2

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:35.426)
Alvin Crackers says: – Very impressive colt here only had the 2 starts and in the hands of Rhed a very impressive and multiple cup winning stable in recent seasons. Now granted not a lot of form to go on a small regional win and now a 2nd in his heat but how impressive was the finish in the heat thundering home in slick time. So with that, this colt is a serious threat maybe a top liner for the future and many in this final will be looking out for this talented 3yo out of Straight Liner .

6. Alessio Sensai

3yo colt from ricardo, Career earnings: $98,893
Overall rating: Adequate(37)

Form: 2,1,1,1,4

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1500m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:15 (1:34.854)
Alvin Crackers says: – Alessio Sensai a colt that been tried over a number of distances that may find the task way too great in this final. Lacks both experience and OR so a huge effort to finish in sight of any the top 5 so really running for the experience rather than the silverware.

7. Sooper Legendary

3yo colt from Moonlight Stables, Career earnings: $184,000
Overall rating: Satisfactory(48) – Fast finisher

Form: 13,5

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1500m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:15 (1:35.027)
Alvin Crackers says: – Sooper Legendary bred by the Moonlight lady and she has done a good job. The colt has some experience and she been patient not raced much and put up a solid and improved effort in his heat. One suspects princess has trained her colt to the minute and will be out to spoil the party in the final as Sooper Legendary will appreciate the extra ground .

8. Memories Freeway

3yo filly from Lucky Stable, Career earnings: $120,000
Overall rating: Satisfactory(45)

Form: 1,3

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1500m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:15 (1:34.584)
Alvin Crackers says: – Lightly raced 3yo of only 2 starts – a win and a 3rd in last Saturdays heat. One can’t knock the form, it’s good, but it will be the fillie’s biggest test to date in this final over much further a distance than faced before. So one that hard to get a line on given no runs over medium so for now one to watch could run midfield given the level of the starters.

 

9. Iron Machine

3yo filly from Jesmans, Career earnings: $312,000
Overall rating: Satisfactory(45)

Form: 2,3,3

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1650m) at Sydney Harbour on 07-Feb-16 02:00 (1:42.335)
 Alvin Crackers says: -Iron Machine carries some really good experience into the final and no doubt has the form to carry her a long way. The heat was her debut in the age cups so by far her biggest test will come Saturday.So the jury out – could do anything – the trainer won’t be holding back but from what I see midfield maybe about her mark.

10. Never Nothing

3yo filly from Pugstable, Career earnings: $1,217,400
Overall rating: Satisfactory(49) – Competitive

Form: 2,1,1,4,5

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:35.549)
Alvin Crackers says: – Pugstable a top breeder who recently broke the ice with this very filly to win the 2yo Champagne Stakes – Pugstable’s  very first cup that now may springboard the stable to bigger and better things not only Never Nothing but others.

Now Never Nothing since the Champagne scored a good win in the heat of the Australian Spring Guineas, then a solid 4th in the final.

Seems with the short break from the Guineas the trainer has just eased his filly into the final and may fire up for the final and be in the mix certainly among the major players given recent form.

11. Sparrow Fart

3yo filly from Sardean Lodge, Career earnings: $269,555
Overall rating: Reasonable(53) – Needs space

Form: 5,5,11,12,3

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1550m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:00 (1:35.502)
Alvin Crackers says: – Sparrow Fart been struggling up until the heat and all of a sudden the trainer found the go button by dropping in distance from long to medium. This horse certainly showed plenty and given the staying potential should find the extra 250m of the final no problem .

Based on the impressive heat, the extra ground, certainly a top 5 for this filly out of the dual magic mile winner  Comforting Sounds is on the cards one to consider in multi’s for sure.

12. Winking Pattie

3yo filly from Royal Velvet Stables, Career earnings: $0
Overall rating: Satisfactory(46) – Breakaway

Form: 7

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1650m) at Sydney Harbour on 07-Feb-16 02:00 (1:42.647)
Alvin Crackers says: – Winking Pattie lightly raced to say the least. One start, a 7th in last week heats so not a lot to go by nor her breeding so the big plus for this filly is experience may well take her a long way in the run so could do anything top 5 or midfield maybe best to watch and consider in later cups.

13. Lisbon Kakita

3yo filly from Uthopia Stables, Career earnings: $308,343
Overall rating: Adequate(38) – Stalker

Form: 2,5,1,2,2

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1650m) at Sydney Harbour on 07-Feb-16 02:00 (1:42.222)
Alvin Crackers says: – Lisbon Kakita is a low rated filly with 12 starts to her name and and some good experience, won her heat on Sunday but the step up in class is quite big here and may find the pace way too hot for her liking.

Another factor against the 3yo is fitness may come up short and make the task even greater for this stalker .

14. Smoken

3yo filly from Old Wesleyens Equine, Career earnings: $169,285
Overall rating: Acceptable(42) – Competitive

Form: 7,2,1,2,1

Last race: Breeders 3yo Middle (1500m) at Sydney Harbour on 06-Feb-16 02:15 (1:33.780)
Alvin Crackers says: – Smoken, 7 Starts for 3 wins and last weeks heat over the 1500m so has some talent. What she lacks in OR she makes up for it in heart, certainly the 1800m and the lack of experience will make this a huge test for the filly .

Expect this wee filly to plug away and give all she got to the cause and beat home many that may appear more fancied.

 

View the field on Track King here

 

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